No dispute over Moore, but check out where the top jockey standings do differ

Undisputed number one: Ryan Moore after winning the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe on Found at Chantilly in October. Photo: Frank Sorge/Racingfotos.com

Ryan Moore will be crowned Longines World’s Best Jockey for 2016 at a  ceremony in Hong Kong a week today, and his runaway victory in the process that decides the title will surprise no-one - least of all those familiar with the TRC Global Rankings.

As he does in the final standings under the system devised by the experts of the IFHA (International Federation of Horseracing Authorities), the Englishman has a huge lead in our rankings, and his #1 position has not been in doubt for some time.

It is reassuring that the top five in both tables are the same, although 2-5 are in a different order. Indeed, they have each had outstanding years (unless you compare theirs with Moore’s) and this group is well ahead of the rest.

Thereafter, however, a comparison of the two sets of rankings reveals many discrepancies, which is to be expected considering the massive differences in the way they are calculated.

The TRC Global Rankings algorithm takes into account the last three runnings of each of around 1,450 group or graded races recognised by the IFHA (in effect, the best 1,450 races in the world), with performance ratings of each runner the key element in calculating the ranking of every jockey who has competed. It produces the top 500 every week based on this rolling three-year period, weighted in favour of more recent races. (It has similar rankings for trainers, owners and sires.)

No computer wizardry is needed in the World’s Best Jockey method, which uses only the first three finishers in what are considered to be the world’s best 100 races (for 3-year-olds and over, but not 2-year-olds). It allots 12 points for a win, six for a second and four for a third.

The table below is of the top 25 in the Longines standings, with each jockey’s TRC Global Ranking listed on the right.

Top 25 jockeys for 2016 in Longines standings

(Dec 1, 2015 - Nov 30, 2016)

Longines standing

Jockey (Modal Country - where they have most counting rides) Home country is in italics

TRC Global Ranking

1 (166 pts)

Ryan Moore (Great Britain) GB

1 (1087 pts)

2 (98)

Christophe Soumillon (France) Belgium

4 (1045)

3 (94)

Hugh Bowman (Australia) Australia

2 (1059)

4 (72)

Javier Castellano (United States) Venezuela

5 (1037)

5 (62)

Frankie Dettori (Great Britain) Italy

3 (1050)

6 (56)

Yutaka Take (Japan) Japan

19 (988)

7 (52)

Mike Smith (United States) USA

11 (1003)

8 (48)

Andrea Atzeni (Great Britain) Italy

24 (981)

9 (48)

Joel Rosario (United States) Dominican Republic

23 (984)

10 (48)

William Buick (Great Britain) GB

12 (1002)

11 (46)

Joao Moreira (Australia) Brazil

10 (1009)

12 (42)

Tommy Berry (Australia) Australia

47 (961)

13 (42)

Craig Newitt (Australia) Australia

142 (912)

14 (42)

Kerrin McEvoy (Australia) Australia

17 (993)

15 (42)

James McDonald (Australia) New Zealand

6 (1027)

16 (38)

Florent Geroux (United States) France

8 (1018)

17 (34)

Zac Purton (Australia) Australia

40 (967)

18 (32)

Pat Smullen (Ireland) Ireland

9 (1010)

19 (32)

Damien Oliver (Australia) Australia

21 (986)

20 (32)

Irad Ortiz Jr (United States) Puerto Rico

24 (981)

21 (30)

Kent Desormeaux (United States) USA

83 (933)

22 (30)

Victor Espinoza (United States) Mexico

27 (979)

23 (30)

Harry Bentley (Great Britain) GB

114 (918)

24 (30)

Mirco Demuro (Japan) Italy

7 (1026)

25 (28)

Masayoshi Ebina (Japan) Japan

51 (954)

Interestingly, there are more jockeys riding in Australia in the 25 than anywhere else, which perhaps illustrates an imbalance in the global distribution of group and graded races.

Modal countries represented in Longines top 25

Australia 8 jockeys (6 in TRC rankings); U.S. 7 (7); GB 5 (5); Japan 3 (4); France 1 (1); Ireland 1 (1)

Home countries represented in Longines top 25

Australia 6; GB 3; Italy 3; Japan 2; U.S. 2; Belgium 1; Brazil 1; Dominican Republic 1; France 1; Ireland 1; Mexico 1; New Zealand 1; Puerto Rico 1; Venezuela 1

TRC Global Rankings: how the jockeys performed in 2016 alone

Of course, the Longines standings are based purely on results over the past 12 months. Here the TRC algorithm, which calculates its rankings over a three-year window, isolates jockeys’ performances over the last 12 months, with no weighting for recency, to offer a more direct comparison with the Longines list. The 2015 rank in column one represents jockeys’ performances isolated for the previous 12 months, again with no weighting for recency.

 

2015 rank2016 rankChangeNameModal countryRnrsRunsIVRPRG1sG2sG3s2015 pts2016 ptsChange
31+2Ryan MooreGreat Britain981831.71102.34 19  8 1711461197+51 
220Hugh BowmanAustralia1001501.5998.36 12 10  711571154-3 
330James McDonaldAustralia1011701.3698.06  4 12 1111461122-24 
54+1Frankie DettoriGreat Britain871411.2998.41  7 10  711401116-24 
15-4Javier CastellanoUSA1131701.2998.32  8121311641115-49 
266+20Florent GerouxUSA941431.4195.91 10  41610471114+67 
327+25Julien LeparouxUSA761211.3096.24  6  9  910371102+65 
58-3Christophe SoumillonFrance701171.2596.72  6  6 1011401099-41 
139+4Mirco DemuroJapan43611.5190.60  4  4  510761091+15 
159+6Kerrin McEvoyAustralia931381.2795.12  7  5  810681091+23 
289+19Mike SmithUSA68961.2296.13  9  7  410451091+46 
1599+150Brad RawillerAustralia29581.5190.60  4  1 109611091+130 
4213+29Keita TosakiJapan40581.5889.01  1  2 1010241089+65 
2414+10Blake ShinnAustralia801251.2894.51  1  7 1110511088+37 
4015+25Jose L OrtizUSA751161.2194.71  4  4 1510261080+54 
1016-6William BuickGreat Britain651091.1395.81  4  5  710841077-7 
2017+3Damien OliverAustralia831181.1894.26  2  3 1010571073+16 
2818+10Joel RosarioUSA701061.1394.69  6  6  710451070+25 
5418+36Yuichi FukunagaJapan37561.4389.02  2  5  410081070+62 
3320+13Yuga KawadaJapan38591.4189.09  1  4  610361068+32 
3121+10Dwayne DunnAustralia871351.1094.40  4  3  810411064+23 
22220Christophe LemaireJapan50661.2691.15  2  6  210531062+9 
5023+27Seamie HeffernanIreland52811.1293.36  4  4  610141059+45 
1824-6Irad Ortiz JrUSA841261.0195.07  4  5  910601057-3 
725-18John VelazquezUSA1151610.8996.76  8  6  411091053-56 
4825+23Rafael BejaranoUSA63881.0993.05  5  7  410191053+34
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